Wisla Plockvs
Korona Kielce
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Plock · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisla Plock 0-2 Korona Kielce
Original prediction
Wisla Plock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.4% | 39.2% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 29.0% | 28.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.7% | 32.0% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Plock
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80