Wisla Plockvs
Cracovia Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/13/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Plock · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisla Plock 3-1 Cracovia Krakow
Original prediction
Wisla Plock
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.7% | 40.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.2% | 28.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 34.0% | 31.1% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Plock
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40