Wisla Krakowvs
Slask Wroclaw
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisla Krakow 2-1 Slask Wroclaw
Original prediction
Wisla Krakow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 58.4% | 46.7% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.9% | 25.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.96 | 18.7% | 28.0% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Krakow
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Wisla Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80