Wisla Krakowvs
Raków Częstochowa
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/24/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisla Krakow 2-1 Raków Częstochowa
Original prediction
Wisla Krakow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 51.4% | 69.4% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.2% | 16.5% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.5% | 14.1% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Krakow
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Wisla Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40