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Sunday, 12 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Wisla Krakow

Wisla Krakow

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Podbeskidzie

Podbeskidzie

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GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Podbeskidzie33%
Wisla Krakow33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Podbeskidzie
Win probability
Wisla Krakow
33%
Draw
33%
Podbeskidzie
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.69 xG for Wisla Krakow and 1.05 xG for Podbeskidzie — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Podbeskidzie holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.74 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Wisla Krakow's Defensive Stability (82) and Podbeskidzie's (82) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Wisla Krakow33%
Draw33%
Podbeskidzie33%

Podbeskidzie leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Wisla Krakow Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Wisla Krakow host Podbeskidzie in Friendlies Clubs. Wisla Krakow have recorded WWDLDW in recent matches while Podbeskidzie arrive with a run of WDWWDD. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.1 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.69 for Wisla Krakow and 1.05 for Podbeskidzie. The gap of 0.63 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Podbeskidzie?

GoalVio's model predicts Wisla Krakow to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wisla Krakow vs Podbeskidzie?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow vs Podbeskidzie?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wisla Krakow vs Podbeskidzie?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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