Wisla Krakowvs
Jagiellonia
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisla Krakow 2-0 Jagiellonia
Original prediction
Wisla Krakow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 42.2% | 40.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.6% | 26.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.2% | 33.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Krakow
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Wisla Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20