Wisła Płock IIvs
Ząbkovia Ząbki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisła Płock II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Płock II 2-2 Ząbkovia Ząbki
Original prediction
Wisła Płock II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.3% | 44.4% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 25.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.0% | 30.3% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Wisła Płock II
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Wisła Płock II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40