Wisła Płock IIvs
Troszyn
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisła Płock II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Płock II 2-1 Troszyn
Original prediction
Wisła Płock II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.5% | 46.0% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 26.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.2% | 27.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Wisła Płock II
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Wisła Płock II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80