Wisła Płock IIvs
Puszcza Niepołomice
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puszcza Niepołomice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Płock II 0-2 Puszcza Niepołomice
Original prediction
Puszcza Niepołomice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.72 | 15.7% | 32.7% | 17.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.4% | 26.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 61.9% | 40.6% | -21.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Puszcza Niepołomice
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20