GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/3/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wisła Płock II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wisła Płock IILDWDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Wisła Płock IIPelikan Łowicz
52.9Attack51.0
43.1Defence60.8
42.2Form51.0
47.6Power53.7
1.33xG1.64
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