Wisła Płock IIvs
Mławianka Mława
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisła Płock II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Płock II 5-3 Mławianka Mława
Original prediction
Wisła Płock II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 46.7% | 49.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.6% | 22.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.6% | 27.6% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Wisła Płock II
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Wisła Płock II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20