Wisła Płock IIvs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisła Płock II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Płock II 2-1 Jagiellonia II
Original prediction
Wisła Płock II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.6% | 40.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 26.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 33.2% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Wisła Płock II
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Wisła Płock II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60