GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/16/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wisła Płock II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wisła Płock IIDWLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Wisła Płock IIBełchatów
52.9Attack56.9
43.1Defence52.0
42.2Form54.9
47.6Power54.7
1.62xG1.84
View match centre →