Wisła Kraków IIvs
Jarosław
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarosław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Kraków II 2-1 Jarosław
Original prediction
Jarosław
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.6% | 35.4% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.6% | 23.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.9% | 41.3% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Jarosław
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Jarosław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40