Wisła Kraków IIvs
Czarni Połaniec
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisła Kraków II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Kraków II 1-1 Czarni Połaniec
Original prediction
Wisła Kraków II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.1% | 38.2% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.0% | 25.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 31.9% | 36.3% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wisła Kraków II
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Wisła Kraków II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80