Wisła Kraków IIvs
Chełmianka Chełm
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chełmianka Chełm · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisła Kraków II 0-2 Chełmianka Chełm
Original prediction
Chełmianka Chełm
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.4% | 31.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 26.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.4% | 42.2% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Chełmianka Chełm
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Chełmianka Chełm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20