GGOALVIO

Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · 8/19/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winterthur II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Winterthur II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thalwil are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Thalwil hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, while Winterthur II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winterthur II

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

11.6%

Winterthur II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winterthur IILLLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ThalwilW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Winterthur IIThalwil
62.2Attack66.7
54.4Defence66.7
52.2Form100.0
55.8Power80.3
1.77xG1.40
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