Winterthur IIvs
Freienbach
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Winterthur II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Winterthur II 3-2 Freienbach
Original prediction
Winterthur II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.2% | 44.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.3% | 25.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.5% | 30.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Winterthur II
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Winterthur II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20