Wingate & Finchleyvs
Stanway Rovers
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wingate & Finchley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wingate & Finchley 4-1 Stanway Rovers
Original prediction
Wingate & Finchley
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.2% | 64.7% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 18.0% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 23.0% | 17.3% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Wingate & Finchley
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Wingate & Finchley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60