Wingate & Finchleyvs
Ramsgate
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ramsgate · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wingate & Finchley 2-0 Ramsgate
Original prediction
Ramsgate
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.2% | 26.6% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 22.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.7% | 51.3% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Ramsgate
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Ramsgate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80