GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/14/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wimborne Town are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WDLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Wimborne TownWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Winchester CityWimborne Town
50.0Attack0.0
46.8Defence50.0
45.2Form0.0
48.2Power21.5
1.79xG1.24
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