GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/28/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walton & Hersham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Walton & Hersham are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Walton & Hersham hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Walton & Hersham holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walton & Hersham

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Walton & Hersham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Walton & HershamLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Winchester CityWalton & Hersham
50.0Attack61.9
46.8Defence46.8
45.2Form51.6
48.2Power54.3
1.70xG1.85
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