GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/15/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownDDLLW

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityTiverton Town
50.0Attack50.8
46.8Defence41.3
45.2Form41.3
48.2Power46.1
1.92xG1.49
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