GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/30/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tiverton TownWLDLD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityTiverton Town
50.0Attack50.8
46.8Defence41.3
45.2Form41.3
48.2Power46.1
1.92xG1.49
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