GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/6/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CitySwindon Supermarine
50.0Attack57.9
46.8Defence27.0
45.2Form38.9
48.2Power42.8
2.41xG1.68
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