GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Salisbury are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLWLW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburyWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CitySalisbury
50.0Attack55.6
46.8Defence63.5
45.2Form62.7
48.2Power62.5
1.14xG1.71
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