GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/16/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Poole Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWDDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityPoole Town
50.0Attack33.3
46.8Defence66.7
45.2Form50.0
48.2Power53.0
1.51xG1.41
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