GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayWLLDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Winchester CityPlymouth Parkway
50.0Attack100.0
46.8Defence83.3
45.2Form66.7
48.2Power75.5
1.40xG1.81
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