Winchester Cityvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/29/2025, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00