GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/29/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Merthyr TownWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityMerthyr Town
50.0Attack67.5
46.8Defence53.2
45.2Form53.2
48.2Power57.2
1.49xG2.04
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