Winchester Cityvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/16/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Winchester City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00