GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/16/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityMerthyr Town
50.0Attack67.5
46.8Defence53.2
45.2Form53.2
48.2Power57.2
1.49xG2.04
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