GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/4/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

72.6%

Model confidence

72.6%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MarlowLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityMarlow
50.0Attack35.7
46.8Defence8.7
45.2Form16.7
48.2Power23.7
2.92xG0.98
View match centre →