Winchester Cityvs
Marlow
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/4/2025, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Winchester City
Probability
72.6%
Model confidence
72.6%
Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80