GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/6/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hungerford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hungerford Town hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hungerford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hungerford Town

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Hungerford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLDLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hungerford TownLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Winchester CityHungerford Town
50.0Attack61.1
46.8Defence44.4
45.2Form50.8
48.2Power52.7
1.78xG1.82
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