GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hendon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityDWWLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HendonWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityHendon
50.0Attack55.6
46.8Defence48.4
45.2Form46.0
48.2Power51.9
1.66xG1.65
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