GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Havant & Wville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityDWDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Havant & WvilleWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityHavant & Wville
50.0Attack0.0
46.8Defence33.3
45.2Form0.0
48.2Power18.3
1.92xG1.24
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