Winchester Cityvs
Harrow Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/21/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Winchester City
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60