GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/1/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityDDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gosport BoroughWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityGosport Borough
50.0Attack0.0
46.8Defence66.7
45.2Form0.0
48.2Power26.7
1.66xG1.26
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