GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/22/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gloucester City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLDDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityGloucester City
50.0Attack33.3
46.8Defence33.3
45.2Form0.0
48.2Power26.7
1.89xG1.29
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