GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/3/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityChesham United
50.0Attack65.9
46.8Defence63.5
45.2Form71.4
48.2Power67.2
1.12xG2.06
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