GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/19/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chertsey TownWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityChertsey Town
50.0Attack83.3
46.8Defence83.3
45.2Form100.0
48.2Power89.7
1.33xG1.90
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