GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/5/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bracknell Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bracknell TownWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityBracknell Town
50.0Attack50.0
46.8Defence0.0
45.2Form50.0
48.2Power34.5
1.91xG1.45
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