GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Beaconsfield TownLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityBeaconsfield Town
50.0Attack50.0
46.8Defence38.1
45.2Form38.1
48.2Power44.0
2.04xG1.45
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