GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/17/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityDWLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Basingstoke TownWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Winchester CityBasingstoke Town
50.0Attack50.0
46.8Defence0.0
45.2Form0.0
48.2Power21.5
2.03xG1.36
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