GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/26/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Winchester CityBasingstoke Town
50.0Attack50.0
46.8Defence0.0
45.2Form0.0
48.2Power21.5
2.03xG1.36
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