GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Winchester City are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AFC Totton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Totton hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Winchester CityWLW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 3.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
AFC TottonWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityAFC Totton
50.0Attack70.6
46.8Defence64.3
45.2Form64.3
48.2Power65.5
1.10xG2.19
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