Wimborne Townvs
Yate Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wimborne Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wimborne Town 4-0 Yate Town
Original prediction
Wimborne Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.5% | 42.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 28.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.5% | 30.0% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Wimborne Town
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Wimborne Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80