GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/21/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wimborne Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wimborne TownLDLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wimborne TownWinchester City
0.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence46.8
0.0Form45.2
21.5Power48.2
1.46xG1.53
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