GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/15/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wimborne Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wimborne TownLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownDDWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Wimborne TownMerthyr Town
0.0Attack67.5
50.0Defence53.2
0.0Form53.2
21.5Power57.2
1.26xG2.11
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