Wimborne Townvs
Havant & Wville
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wimborne Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Wimborne Town 1-0 Havant & Wville, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Wimborne Town 6-3 Havant & Wville
Original prediction
Wimborne Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.1% | 54.4% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 25.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.9% | 20.4% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Wimborne Town 1–0 Havant & Wville
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Wimborne Town
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Wimborne Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00