Wimborne Townvs
Chelmsford City
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wimborne Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wimborne Town 1-0 Chelmsford City
Original prediction
Wimborne Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.73 | 24.4% | 37.2% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 26.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.5% | 36.5% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Wimborne Town
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Wimborne Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20