Wiltzvs
UNA Strassen
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNA Strassen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiltz 0-2 UNA Strassen
Original prediction
UNA Strassen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.95 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.83 | 13.3% | 14.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.14 | 80.2% | 76.0% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
UNA Strassen
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
76.0%
UNA Strassen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40